Todays sunspot number is 116. Three large sunspots all have the energy to produce flares, and are already doing so but at the C class level. AR1718 is still in a position where anything it throws off will be a direct hit on the Earth and rapidly growing sunspot AR19 will move into position as AR18 moves off to the west of the sun disc.
NOAA estimate the chance of an M class flare at 20% over the next 24 hours, and 0.1% of an X class over the same period though this can change rapidly as the sunspots grow and their magnetic field becomes more complex.
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Contributed by Chris Carrington of The Daily Sheeple.
Chris Carrington is a writer, researcher and lecturer with a background in science, technology and environmental studies. Chris is an editor for The Daily Sheeple. Wake the flock up!