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Todays Space Weather: Large Sunspots Increase Flare Threat

Three of the sunspots, AR1713, AR1718 and AR1719, have ‘beta-gamma’ magnetic fields that harbor energy for M-class solar flares. Eruptions from AR1718, in particular, would likely be Earth-directed.

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Todays sunspot number is 144. An uptick in activity sees nine sunspot groups scattered across the Earth facing side of the sun. Three of the sunspots, AR1713, AR1718 and AR1719, have ‘beta-gamma’ magnetic fields that harbor energy for M-class solar flares. Eruptions from AR1718, in particular, would likely be Earth-directed.

Over the next dew days AR1719 and AR1718 will move across the disc making Earth bound flares more likely. NOAA estimate a 30% chance of an M class flare during the next 24 hours but just a 0.1% chance of an X class flare though that could well change over the coming days.

There are currently no coronal holes.

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