Armageddon Scenarios
Risk Of Flares From Sunspots AR1875 And AR1877 Increases To 55%
AR1875 and AR1877 have increased in size and have the energy fields for strong flares. NOAA estimates the chance of an M-class at 55% over the next 24-48 hours, and they have upped the estimate for an X-class flare from 0.5% to 10%.
Solar activity has increased. A strong M-class flare yesterday threw off a coronal mass ejection that is heading towards Earth, it’s arrival time is not yet published.
The CME is not a particularly strong one, but it comes hot on the heels of three others that merged en route to us. That one caused a geomagnetic storm at the poles.
AR1875 and AR1877 have increased in size and have the energy fields for strong flares. NOAA estimates the chance of an M-class at 55% over the next 24-48 hours, and they have upped the estimate for an X-class flare from 0.5% to 10%
Todays sunspot number is 148.
There are no coronal holes on the Earth side of the Sun at this point.
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