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Possible CME Impact On May 17th
NOAA estimate the chance of an M class flare during the next 24 hours to be 80% and an X class flare at 60% over the same time period. Sunspot AR1748 is moving across the sun disc and any flares produced are increasingly likely to be Earth directed.
The Coronal mass ejection that was hurled into space on May 15th by the X1 flare could well deliver a glancing blow to the Earths magnetic field on May 17th. Although the sunspot was not directly facing Earth when the flare occurred, coronograph data suggests it may well be geo-effective.
Todays sunspot number is 186. A considerable uptick in activity has been seen over the last couple of weeks as the Sun heads towards the maximum of its cycle later this year.
NOAA estimate the chance of an M class flare during the next 24 hours to be 80% and an X class flare at 60% over the same time period.
Sunspot AR1748 is moving across the sun disc and any flares produced are increasingly likely to be Earth directed.
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