Top Missile and Chemical Weapons Expert Debunks Trump’s Claims About Syrian Chemical Weapons

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The Trump administration claims that it has proof that the Syrian government dropped chemical weapons from an airplane on April 4th.

But a top missile and chemical weapons expert told Washington’s Blog today that the weapon was not delivered by an airplane at all …

Specifically, we called Dr. Theodore Postol, professor of science, technology, and national security policy at MIT.  Postol’s main expertise is in ballistic missiles. He has a substantial background in air dispersal, including how toxic plumes move in the air. Postol has taught courses on weapons of mass destruction – including chemical and biological threats – at MIT.

Before joining MIT, Postol worked as an analyst at the Office of Technology Assessment, as a science and policy adviser to the chief of naval operations, and as a researcher at Argonne National Laboratory.

He also helped build a program at Stanford University to train mid-career scientists to study weapons technology in relation to defense and arms control policy.

Postol is a highly-decorated scientist, receiving the Leo Szilard Prize from the American Physical Society, the Hilliard Roderick Prize from the American Association for the Advancement of Science, and the Richard L. Garwin Award from the Federation of American Scientists.

Postol previously debunked the U.S. government’s claims about a 2013 chemical weapons attack in Syria, causing the New York Times to back away from one of the main arguments for Syrian government culpability.

Postol told Washington’s Blog that a chemical weapon dropped from a plane would have included an explosive on the inside of the tube containing the chemical agent.

But the photograph the U.S. government released to show the weapon which released the chemicals on April 4th shows that the explosive was placed outside of the tube containing the chemical weapon.

Postol illustrates this fact in a report he released today:

Postol 1

Postol 2

Postol 3

Postol also notes that the weapon is simply a section of a 122 mm artillery rocket, rather than any type of weapon that would be released from a plane:

Postol 4

Postol also told us that – contrary to popular myth – chemical weapons are more effective when there’s no wind, as people are exposed to the chemical for a longer period than if it’s calm (wind lifts some of the chemical upward, so it’s not as concentrated at ground level. On the other hand, a chemical released at ground level on a calm day moves about the same speed as a person walking … 1 to 2 meters per second).

Postol looked up the weather for the area where the chemical incident occurred. It was quite windy the day before and the day after the incident, but was calm when the chemical release occurred. So reports by the Russian government that it was windy that day are inaccurate.

Postol believes this provides circumstantial evidence that the chemical was released from the ground, and that the perpetrator intentionally waited for a calm day to set it off.

But Postol also told us that he has evidence that the site has been tampered with. Specifically, he’s reviewed photographs of the site over time, which show that it has been modified. [Update: Postol just sent us his Addendum on evidence tampering.] So there’s really no evidence linking the Syrian government with the chemical incident.

Postol told us that the errors, inconsistencies and lack of facts in both the 2013 and 2017 U.S. reports on Syrian chemical weapons incidents show that the reports were not vetted by any experienced intelligence officials.  In other words, these were political rather than fact-based reports.

Postol notes concerning the U.S. government’s report:

[It] does not provide any evidence whatsoever that the US government has concrete knowledge that the government of Syria was the source of the chemical attack.

***

[Like the report on the 2013 Syrian chemical attack, the government’s new report is] obviously false, misleading and amateurish.

***

What the country is now being told by the White House cannot be true.

Many other experts have also expressed doubts about the Trump administration’s claims regarding the chemical incident.

For more on this from Washington’s Blog, please see The Money-Quote from the Postol Report on the Recent Gas Attack in Syria.

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  • Mjwfutures

    Isis definately had more to gain by gasing children. We shouldnt be involved. I have no problem with muslims killing muslims as its their cultural past time. Stop sending aid. This is all just about assad and putin trading oil in foreign currency.

    • ISIS is nothing but a government-funded CIA group designed to infringe on our civil liberties.

      We need to get out of the Middle East and not involve ourselves with this shitshow.

  • SP_88

    Our government is pretty good at making wild accusations without a shred of evidence to back it up.
    They had zero evidence to support the 2013 chemical weapons attack in Syria, yet they insisted that it was the Assad regime who perpetrated the attack as a pretence for military action against them.
    They had zero evidence to support the claim that the Russians hacked our election and influenced Trump’s victory.
    And they had zero evidence to support the 2017 claim that Assad attacked his own people with chemical weapons, a claim that they used as a pretence for the subsequent missile strike on an abandoned air field full of scrap planes and junk.
    Our government has a history of lying to us so we’ll go along with their agenda to go to war against our perceived enemies.
    There is the sinking of the Lusitania that got us into WW1, Pearl Harbor that got us into WW2, operation Northwoods that was almost executed to start a war with Cuba and possibly Russia, 9/11 and the nonexistent WMD’s in Iraq to get us into a war in the middle east, and several chemical weapons attacks in Syria to force the Assad regime out of power so we could put a puppet government in it’s place. And I’m sure that I’ve missed a bunch of other lies and propaganda that our government used to manipulate us.
    And after all that, we are supposed to just believe what they say without question? We’re supposed to trust them to do the right thing? I don’t think so.
    As a rule of thumb, anything the government says, the opposite is true.

  • lastnerve

    I noticed how the neo-cons, MSM, some of the Dems, and some Repubs, got off
    Pres Trumps A$$. The Globalist may have threatened him or his family, whatever,
    gave him some slack for a bit.